The last 12 months marked a year during which most prognosticators were far off the mark with their forecasts for macro variables, yet still made money given the price gains experienced by pretty much everything financial, except for grain, base metal and energy commodities. The year started with broad agreement that 2022’s soaring interest rates could cause recessions in much of the world, inflation would abate (the question was to what degree), and that at 17.6X forward earnings, the S&P 500 was not cheap.